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Luck (Blackjack) prohibition guidance: Do you decide a draw or hold?

The celebration of the Lunar New Year (CNY) will be incomplete if you do not experience luck with the "Ban Luck" game. While the world is looking for a scientific dimension in the concept of "luck," we can evaluate this year's luck with the night prize of playing Blackjack. Source: SGAG SGAG believes that Singaporets will be useful for making the best decisions in personal financial aspects once a year, once a year, but we are also gambling. Go the road (Oh! We are really Singaporean). In recent years, I have lost many nations due to "forbidden luck", and have decided to recover at least a little this year using mathematics and statistics. Gambling is a personal decision and needs to take risks into consideration before participating. Source: Rejection of media cock liability: We do not recommend gambling, but provide information on statistical probability to raise awareness. We treat gambling responsibly and strongly recognize that gambling is not a profitable way. If you or your friends are fighting gambling issues, ask for appropriate resource support. Gambling is a personal decision. Before you participate in gambling, take all the risks.

TL; Dr: How to increase the probability of getting a number in the Lunar New Year this year

  • The probability of getting a bang (aunt pair) is 0, 56 %.
  • The probability of lifting the lifting of the first hand is 4, 83%.
  • In the case of a player: 16 points, the probability of cracking is 62 %. Therefore, it is very risky to draw another card at the age of 16.
  • In the case of a dealer: The probability that the game ends with a bourgeois with 16 or more points is 66, 81%.

Editorial Note: If you don't know how to play BAN LUCK, we will support you! Under this article, we have prepared a teaching method for you!

Probability to get a good hand

First, look at the whole picture and analyze the probability of winning.

probability
Winning rate42, 42%
draw8, 48%
lose49, 09%

As a result, the probability of a player winning in Ban Luck is less than 50%, which is much lower than many Singaporeans think.

To further subdivide this, the odds of each hand are shown below:

  • The probability of two ace (van van) is only 0. 56%.
  • The probability of having 10 ace is 4. 83%.
  • The probability that the first hand gets 17 to 20 points is 30%.

Considering that in this game, each player must get at least 16 points, here are the chances of getting 16 points or more:

Meaning of original armprobability
Prohibited0, 56%
21 (BAL of luck)4, 83%
2010, 26%
196, 03%
186, 48%
177, 24%
167, 69%

"I have number 16! Shall we continue the draw?"

Let's say that the first hand was actually 16. Is it worth continuing the draw?

According to the rules of the game, each player needs at least 16 in the game. On the other hand, 16 is a very small hand in this Irigi.

With this in mind, we analyze the possibility that each hand will be "cracked" if one more card is spread.

By "crack", we mean a total of points higher than 21 points.

Total value of the handProbability of 21 points (Bust)
21100%
2092%
1985%
1877%
1769%
1662%
1558% (or grounds to surrender)
1456%
1339%
1231%
Below 110%

From here you can see that this probability is the fact that a hand with a good draw and a total significance of 16 "Bust" decorates 62%. If your zodiac sign has not been very successful this year, think again before using this card.

Use the probability that the dollar accepts the conclusion about its course.

For the dealer, this is a completely different game.

Most dealers will:

  • If it has 16 points, the card is drawn and, in fact, taking into account, the 16 is not very important.
  • Stand 17 glasses believe that there are players who actually contain 16 points.

In this section, we plan the probability of what your finishing hand will be if you are considered a dealer.

For the player, it can be an indicator to decide on the draw.

Probability of receiving the dealer's final handBang Bang (pair of aces)
0, 56%0, 56%
4, 8321 points (2 or more)
7, 36%17, 58%
2013, 48%
1913, 81%
1814, 58%
17No gain (21 points or less)
72, 2%Bust up (21 points or more)
27, 8%The probability that the dealer will end the game with 17 points or more is 66, 81%.
  • Benches and bans are not offered because they contribute to the dealer's immediate win.
  • Food for inference

The probability that the player will not draw with 16 glasses is quite high at 62%.

  • If the player does not match the 16-point tie, the dealer's winning percentage is 66, 81%.
  • The difference is due to the dealer's superiority.
  • In other words, the degree of risk taken by the player will determine the fate of this Chinese New Year.
  • Read more How to Ban Luck (Chinese Blackjack Rules)

Here is a short educational program on the rules of the game Ban Luck.

How to deal cards in Ban-Fortune.

First, the dealer mutters the deck (usually one deck of cards is required).

  • After the dealer shuffles the cards, the player "cuts" the deck and divides it into two. This is done to ensure the fidelity of the game.
  • After that, the dealer distributes two cards to each player including himself.
  • Unlike the casino blackjack, Singapore usually distributes two cards to the face.
  • Scoring at Van Rack

There are 2 to 9 cards, and the scores are very easy. The number written on the card represents the score.

  • In the case of 10, J, Q, and K all mean 10 points.
  • Ace value depends on the number of hands. If you have two cards, the ace will be 10 or 11. If you have 3 cards, the ace will be 10 or 1. If the hand is 4 or more, the ace is 1.
  • Play

To play, each player must have 16 or more points.

  • The combination of 16 or less cards means that players or dealers have to hit.
  • If the player or a bunker has just 15 points with the first two cards, you can salender.
  • A hit means drawing a card from the deck when the turn comes around.

task

The goal is to get a hig h-score hand with a high score of 21 points or less.

  • Prohibition of special combinations

There is a special combination that a dealer or player can refund more than the bet amount.

  • Van rack (J, Q, K, 10 ace). Unless the dealer is 15 points or ban g-bang, the player gets twice as much as the bet. The same goes for dealers.
  • Bang Bang (Ace Pair): Acquisition 3 times the bet.
  • 7-7-7 (Triple Seven): Acquire 7 times the bet amount
  • Dragon (5 cards that do not exceed 21 points): If you aim for a hit after receiving the fourth card, the player must publish all four cards. If the total score of the five cards does not exceed 21 points, the player receives twice the bet.
  • Related article

Lunar New Year (CNY) Guide: Fortunate, Bitwien, Poker Play.

  • Singapore Guide about the probability of winning Mahjong's winning hand, scoring, and how to hit mahjong
  • Singapore guide about poker odds
  • Guide for winning with mahjong: probability of hitting heaven and probability to get a card
  • I became a beer belly thanks to working in Bloomberg, but when I joined a professional trader, I got even bigger. Currently, caffeine is being converted into financial content that is easy to digest.

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Elim Rim - Journalist, creative writer

Last modified 26.08.2025

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